People often say that NBA players are easier to project than sportsmen from other sports, and to some extent, this is true. In the NBA, there are multiple fantasy scoring opportunities, but unlike a touchdown, goal, or home run, each one has a little impact on the ultimate score. As a result, on a daily basis, you can typically forecast an athlete’s fantasy performance within 10 points.
In compared to other sports, it is commonly believed that predictability makes NBA DFS easier to win because everyone has the same edge. The top NBA DFS strategies tend to focus on prominent players more than other sports since estimates are more accurate. Even though he appears in 100% of the entries, there are moments when you should play a guy. James Harden is an obvious example on days when Kevin Durant isn’t playing since he takes so many more shots and receives so many more assists. That isn’t to mean that on any given day, you should perform all of the popular plays. You still need to find the right sleepers to win large-field events.
NBA DFS Proprietorship
If the most owned players in NBA Draftkings optimizerhave big days, the score required to produce a winning lineup skyrockets. As a result, if you fill your lineup with highly owned players, you’ll need a lot more points to win than if you include some contrarian guys. Plus, you’re up against a lot of individuals that have nearly the same lineup as you, with the exception of one or two guys.
Stacking in NBA DFS
While game stacking is a popular technique in GPPs, it isn’t as effective in NBA as it is in other sports. There is only one stat in the NBA that has a positive correlation between players: assists and points. Other statistics, on the other hand, are negatively correlated: if one player takes a shot, it means one less shot for their teammate. While selecting players from the same game isn’t bad, prioritising one criteria above others will result in sub-optimal lineups.
You can come across overtime games that have a better probability of producing good fantasy results, making stacking a game essentially a wash. However, using common sense is beneficial. If a team is a heavy favourite in a game, loading up on those players while ignoring opposing players reduces your chances of winning because you want the other team to put up a strong fight, resulting in better fantasy results.
Roster Construction
Taking players who are under-priced due to injuries to their teammates and then soaking up the remaining salary with the highest-priced players is usually the best way to build fantasy NBA lineups. After the salaries for the slate were announced, Chris Paul, for example, may be ruled out. That’s the kind of situation where you can stock up on Suns guys because a lot of his output will be distributed among the club. On nights when there are a lot of injuries, lineups with all mid-priced players are usually not a good idea since the easiest approach to maximise fantasy points is to choose some of the lowest-priced players who benefit from injuries and then soak up salary with some of the superstars.
